Ideal vs Sabugal SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 0
IDE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
TOU
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
IDE
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 2
ANG
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 2
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sabugal SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAB
5 - 2
PAM
17%
21%
63%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
SAB
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADN
4 - 3
SAB
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 1
PRA
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 1
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |