Ideal vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
IDE
11%
17%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
GDF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BMA
4 - 0
IDE
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
FAT
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 0
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 4
PRA
6%
16%
79%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LEX
4 - 2
PRA
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 1
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |