Ideal vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 0
IDE
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
IDE
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 0
PIN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
IDE
28%
22%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
MOU
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 2
PRA
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
PRA
3 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 1
PRA
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |