Ideal vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
IDE
20%
22%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
IDE
27%
23%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IDE
2 - 2
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IDE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 0
FAY
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
PRA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 0
SCG
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
4 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |