Ideal vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 3
SAB
70%
16%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 0
IDE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
TOU
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
IDE
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 2
PAM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAM
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAB
5 - 2
PAM
17%
21%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -3 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 2
PRA
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
PAM
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |