Ideal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
IDE
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
IDE
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 0
EVN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 0
ORI
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |