Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OEL
0 - 3
IDE
73%
19%
9%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
IDE
1 - 3
LOU
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
IDE
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
IDE
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IDE
2 - 3
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
RAB
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
SAC
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 3
OPE
35%
24%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SIN
1 - 1
OPE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
PER
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |