Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 4
COV
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
IDE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
4 - 2
IDE
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 2
EVN
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
OPE
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 5
PIN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
OPE
24%
21%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 4
FEL
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |