Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 1
OLE
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
IDE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 2
BEN
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
OPE
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |