Ideal vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
5 - 1
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
IDE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
IDE
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 2
FAT
13%
19%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |