Ideal vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 0
IDE
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
IDE
4 - 4
CLU
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 0
IDE
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 1
1DE
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 2
OPE
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OEL
1 - 1
LOU
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
7 - 0
OEL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
OEL
2 - 1
PRA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
OEL
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 3
OEL
24%
23%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |