Ideal vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 0
IDE
37%
27%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 4
COV
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
IDE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
3 - 3
EVN
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
PIN
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |