Ideal vs Marítimo Graciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
IDE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 4
IDE
83%
13%
5%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
IDE
6 - 1
FLA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 1
IDE
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo Graciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 4
RAB
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 0
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
PRA
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
PRA
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |