Ideal vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RAB
0 - 3
IDE
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 0
OLH
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EVN
1 - 0
IDE
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
IDE
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 2
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
EVN
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PIN
4 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
1DE
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |