Ideal vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLH
0 - 2
IDE
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 2
CAS
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
IDE
33%
22%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
FER
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 0
ANG
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
0 - 1
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
PRA
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
PIN
45%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |