Ideal vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
IDE
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 0
IDE
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
FAR
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
IDE
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 3
EVN
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
PIN
32%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
MOU
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |