Ideal vs Gafetense analysis

Ideal Gafetense
45 ELO 19
-4.8% Tilt -5.9%
20191º General ELO ranking 25589º
293º Country ELO ranking 563º
ELO win probability
75.6%
Ideal
14.8%
Draw
9.6%
Gafetense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
Ideal
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
Gafetense
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ideal
Gafetense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ideal
Ideal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2017
LUS
Lusitania FC
0 - 0
Ideal
IDE
26%
25%
49%
45 36 9 0
12 Feb. 2017
IDE
Ideal
3 - 1
Angrense
ANG
65%
20%
16%
45 31 14 0
29 Jan. 2017
IDE
Ideal
1 - 1
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
29%
27%
45%
44 53 9 +1
22 Jan. 2017
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Ideal
IDE
70%
18%
11%
45 54 9 -1
15 Jan. 2017
IDE
Ideal
4 - 1
Carapinheirense
CAR
80%
13%
7%
45 29 16 0

Matches

Gafetense
Gafetense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2017
ANG
Angrense
1 - 0
Gafetense
GAF
69%
17%
14%
20 30 10 0
12 Feb. 2017
GAF
Gafetense
2 - 2
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
9%
18%
73%
19 53 34 +1
25 Sep. 2016
GAF
Gafetense
1 - 3
Academico Viseu
ACV
8%
16%
75%
19 56 37 0
04 Sep. 2016
SIN
Sintrense
0 - 1
Gafetense
GAF
80%
15%
6%
18 51 33 +1
15 Feb. 2015
MON
Montargilense
1 - 1
Gafetense
GAF
48%
23%
29%
18 19 1 0