Ideal vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
REA
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ANG
0 - 1
IDE
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 2
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 1
IDE
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
4 - 0
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
SAC
24%
26%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ORI
4 - 0
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FER
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
1 - 1
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |