Ideal vs Vale Formoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IDE
3 - 2
BMA
12%
21%
68%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FAT
3 - 0
IDE
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RDA
2 - 3
IDE
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vale Formoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
TON
7 - 0
FOR
91%
8%
1%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 3
COI
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
UDL
7%
15%
78%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | +16 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
5 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
5%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |