Ideal vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
IDE
4 - 0
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 1
IDE
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
4 - 1
IDE
75%
18%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IDE
1 - 1
ORI
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 0
IDE
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
SCP
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
1 - 3
ESA
13%
21%
67%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 1
ESA
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 1
ESA
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |