Ideal vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
IDE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 3
OLE
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
8 - 0
ANM
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
ANM
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ANM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 0
ANM
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |