Ideal vs Almodôvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
IDE
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 0
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RAB
0 - 3
IDE
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 0
OLH
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EVN
1 - 0
IDE
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Almodôvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
5 - 2
QUA
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
CUB
50%
22%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ODE
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 2
CAG
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |