Icomar vs Unió Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
8 - 1
ICO
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ICO
0 - 4
MIA
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ICO
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
7 - 1
ICO
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BON
3 - 1
ICO
39%
22%
40%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Unió Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AST
3 - 1
BAS
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 0
AST
76%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
AST
2 - 2
BON
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 1
AST
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AST
1 - 1
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |