Icomar vs Unió Astorga A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MIA
1 - 1
ICO
17%
17%
66%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
ICO
22%
18%
60%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ICO
2 - 1
MCA
80%
11%
9%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SEG
0 - 3
ICO
34%
20%
46%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ICO
5 - 1
CON
78%
12%
10%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unió Astorga A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
UAS
1 - 0
ALM
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
UAS
3 - 2
ALC
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
UAS
2 - 0
TAR
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
UAS
4 - 0
LAE
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MIA
0 - 0
UAS
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |