Icomar vs Porrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ICO
1 - 2
MON
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MPE
4 - 1
ICO
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ICO
3 - 1
MIA
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 1
ICO
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ICO
0 - 1
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
POR
0 - 4
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SCA
42%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 2
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AST
1 - 0
POR
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FLO
3 - 0
POR
86%
9%
4%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |