Icomar vs Porrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FES
3 - 0
ICO
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 1
CCL
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ICO
0 - 3
PMA
74%
14%
12%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ELP
2 - 1
ICO
62%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ICO
5 - 1
MON
70%
15%
15%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Porrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ELP
24%
20%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
4 - 1
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
BON
20%
19%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
5 - 0
POR
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 3
ARE
49%
22%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |