Icomar vs Montroig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BON
2 - 1
ICO
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
ICO
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ICO
0 - 2
CAN
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARE
1 - 2
ICO
50%
21%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 0
VIL
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Montroig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ELP
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
PMA
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
BON
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
CAN
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARE
3 - 0
MON
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |