Icomar vs Calafell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
2 - 4
ICO
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ICO
1 - 2
EVF
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FLO
2 - 4
ICO
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calafell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 4
SCQ
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
2 - 0
CAL
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
MON
36%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |