Icomar vs Bonavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
ICO
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ICO
2 - 3
CCL
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
ICO
53%
20%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ICO
1 - 3
TAR
67%
16%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ICO
2 - 5
MPE
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bonavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FES
3 - 1
BON
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BON
0 - 1
BAS
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CCL
2 - 1
BON
67%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BON
4 - 0
AST
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BON
2 - 0
TAR
55%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |