Icasa vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 3
ABC
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
ICA
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
5 - 2
ICA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 2
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
BRA
14%
23%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
SAL
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
SPO
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |