Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 0
ICA
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 2
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
4 - 1
ICA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 4
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 3
TIR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
QUI
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
QUI
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |