Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 0
LIM
76%
15%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
LIM
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 5
TIR
32%
24%
43%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |