Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ICA
0 - 0
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ICA
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 2
ICA
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 4
ICA
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ICA
3 - 0
CEA
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
GUA
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 2
QUI
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
CEA
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
FOR
4 - 1
QUI
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |