Icasa vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 3
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
QUI
3 - 2
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
QUI
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
3 - 2
QUI
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
LIM
1 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |