Cearense 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
ICA
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
5 - 1
TIR
53%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TIR
0 - 0
ICA
56%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
ICA
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
ICA
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
IGU
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
2 - 1
ITA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
PAC
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |