Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
ICA
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 2
TIR
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ITA
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
ICA
31%
27%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +1 |