Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 0
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
ICA
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 1
ICA
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |