Icasa vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
SAL
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OES
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
DUQ
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |