Favoriten vs Aspern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Favoriten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ICF
0 - 4
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
REN
1 - 4
ICF
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ICF
8 - 1
DON
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -3 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FAV
1 - 1
ICF
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
GER
3 - 2
ICF
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
SVA
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 4
SCF
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |