ÍBV vs Vestri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
11º
11º
22
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 43 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 41 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 32 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 31 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 27 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 23 |
12º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
94.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
STJ
2 - 3
IBV
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
IBV
3 - 1
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
IBV
3 - 0
VIK
19%
21%
60%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AFT
0 - 0
IBV
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
VIK
2 - 0
IBV
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vestri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VES
0 - 1
BRE
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
IAA
0 - 2
VES
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VES
3 - 3
HKK
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VES
1 - 0
FHH
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
VES
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |