3ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Iberia C A vs Espluguenc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iberia C A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 2
IBE
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
IBE
4 - 3
HOS
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MON
1 - 7
IBE
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
IBE
5 - 0
JCP
81%
11%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CBX
1 - 2
IBE
36%
21%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espluguenc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 2
IBE
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OMO
1 - 3
ESP
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 3
SVH
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
REI
3 - 4
ESP
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 1
CCF
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |