Ibarra vs Unión Tejina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
IGA
1 - 2
UDI
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 2
GAL
23%
28%
49%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SDT
1 - 0
UDI
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UDI
1 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDL
3 - 1
UDI
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Tejina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 3
RUN
65%
20%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 1
EST
29%
28%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -4 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
LLA
2 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 2
TEL
19%
27%
54%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
SDT
6 - 0
UNI
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |