Ibarra vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
RSI
2 - 1
UDI
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UDI
3 - 2
GAL
27%
28%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 0
UDI
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
UDI
0 - 2
UDL
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
COR
1 - 1
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 1
CAS
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LAG
2 - 1
UCA
52%
26%
22%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
UCA
0 - 1
AGA
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MAS
3 - 3
UCA
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 1
CPO
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |