Ibarra vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
UNV
2 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 6
CDM
23%
26%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAG
3 - 0
UDI
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 0
CDT
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VER
3 - 2
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
VEC
1 - 0
VSB
41%
24%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEC
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
VEC
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
VEC
1 - 2
UNV
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDM
2 - 0
VEC
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |