Ibarra vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
COR
2 - 2
UDI
59%
25%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
UDI
2 - 2
GUI
57%
24%
19%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
UNI
0 - 1
UDI
36%
30%
34%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
UDI
1 - 3
REA
30%
28%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
LAG
2 - 1
UDI
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
VEC
1 - 0
LPA
32%
31%
37%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
SAL
4 - 2
VEC
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
VEC
3 - 1
LAN
42%
28%
30%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
EST
1 - 1
VEC
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
VEC
4 - 1
LLA
49%
28%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |