Ibarra vs Telde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SDT
2 - 1
UDI
53%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UPR
2 - 0
UDI
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAN
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
YAI
1 - 1
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Telde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 2
CSU
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
TEL
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 1
UNV
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 2
TEL
53%
24%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 4
COT
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |