Ibarra vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAM
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LPA
2 - 0
UDI
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
UDI
1 - 0
HBN
58%
25%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
SBA
4 - 1
UDI
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
UDI
1 - 0
CSU
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAM
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
LLA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 1
TAM
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VSB
1 - 1
TAM
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
TAM
3 - 2
LPA
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |