Ibarra vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
16º
14º
38
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
UDI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 0
UPR
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
UDI
0 - 2
CSU
23%
24%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 2
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
CSU
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
0 - 2
TAM
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
ARU
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LPA
1 - 0
TAM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VSB
1 - 0
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |