Ibarra vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VSB
1 - 1
UDI
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
UPR
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAS
4 - 0
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
SDT
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 2
UDI
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 2
ALM
4%
13%
83%
|
32 | 76 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDL
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
VSB
1 - 1
TAM
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 0
UPR
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |