Ibarra vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
UDI
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDM
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
UDI
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDB
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 0
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
UDS
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
UDS
5 - 0
UPR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
UDS
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 2
VSB
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |